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The 2026 Energy Security Scenarios: Aviation and energy to 2100

Shell’s 2026 Energy Security Scenarios: Aviation and energy to 2100 explore the future of aviation through three scenarios which recognise that the world is being shaped by national security agendas, competitiveness and climate concerns, with potentially world-changing technologies like artificial intelligence (AI) rushing headlong towards us.

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Download the full Aviation Scenarios Sketch report

A detailed exploration of the scenarios, assumptions and implications shaping the future of aviation and energy.

Download the full report (PDF, 12 MB)

Explore more about Shell Scenarios

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What are the Shell Scenarios?

To make better decisions today, we need to challenge our assumptions about the future. Shell has used scenario thinking to do this for more than 50 years.

Shell Scenarios team

Scenarios where you live

Shorter reports focused on the dynamics for energy and decarbonisation in specific places: from China to the EU, Indonesia to Singapore, the USA to India.

What are the previous Shell scenarios?

What are the previous Shell scenarios?

We have been developing possible visions of the future since the 1970s, helping generations of Shell leaders explore ways forward and make better decisions