LNG Outlook 2017
China and India are two of the world’s fastest growing buyers of liquefied natural gas (LNG) with the total number of importing countries now at 35, according to Shell’s first LNG Outlook.
Global demand for liquefied natural gas (LNG) reached 265 million tonnes (MT) in 2016 – enough to supply power to around 500 million homes a year, a new outlook finds.
The LNG Outlook, the first of its kind for Shell, highlights key trends in 2016 and focuses on future global demand and supply.
It finds that total global demand for LNG has increased with the addition of six new importing countries since 2015: Colombia, Egypt, Jamaica, Jordan, Pakistan and Poland. China and India are two of the fastest growing buyers, with the number of LNG importers worldwide up to 35, from 10 at the start of the century.
The bulk of growth in LNG exports in 2016 came from Australia, where exports increased by 15 MT to a total of 44.3 MT. It was also a significant year for the USA, which delivered 2.9 MT from the Sabine Pass terminal in Louisiana.
“Global LNG trade demonstrated its flexibility time and again in 2016, responding to shortfalls in national and regional gas supply and to new emerging demand,” says Maarten Wetselaar, Integrated Gas and New Energies Director at Shell. “The outlook for LNG demand is set to grow at twice the rate of gas demand, at 4 to 5% a year between 2015 and 2030.”
The outlook says that from 2020 to 2030 most new LNG demand growth will be driven by: policy, floating storage regasification units (FSRUs), replacing declining domestic gas production, small scale LNG and transport.
LNG prices are expected to continue to be determined by factors including oil prices, global LNG supply and demand dynamics, as well as the cost of new LNG facilities.
In addition, the outlook says LNG trade is changing to meet the evolving needs of buyers, including shorter-term and lower-volume contracts.
Read the Shell LNG Outlook 2017 in full
Shell LNG Outlook 2017 - slides (PDF, 1 MB)
Shell LNG Outlook 2017 - overview (PDF, 184 kB)
Shell LNG Outlook 2017 - infographic (PDF, 132 kB)
Shell launches LNG Outlook - media release
Note: On Wednesday February 22, 2017 Shell will host a live audio webcast of the LNG Outlook. It will be held at 13:00 GMT (14:00 CET / 08:00 EST). For more details please see here: Advance notice webcast LNG Outlook
Shell LNG Outlooks from other years
Shell LNG Outlooks from other years
Sources
Sources
Aurora Energy Research; Embassy of the USA – Beijing, China; Eurogas data; Fitch Group; IHS (Energy LNG Sales Contracts Database, LNG Waterborne Trade, Liquefaction Projects Database); ICE (NBP, Brent, ARA coal); International Energy Agency (IEA); Japanese customs data (Japan LNG import); Moody’s; National Bureau of Statistics of China; National Energy Technology Laboratory (NETL), 2013-Cost & Performance baseline for Fossil Energy Plants; NYMEX (Henry Hub); Platts (JKM); United Kingdom Department of Energy & Climate Change, Life Cycle Greenhouse Gas; Wood Mackenzie Q4 2016 data
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