In this section

What are Shell Scenarios?

Shell has been a pioneer in developing scenarios to explore the future and deepen its strategic thinking for almost 50 years. 

NEW: Scenario Sketches

We turn insights about how the world is changing – politically, economically, technologically and socially – into ‘sketches’ to help us think about the future.

Sky scenario

The Sky scenario illustrates a technically possible, but challenging pathway for society to achieve the goals of the Paris Agreement.

A Better Life with a Healthy Planet

How could the world meet future energy demand while reducing net carbon emissions to zero?

New Lens on the Future

Our New Lens Scenarios explore two possible ways the 21st century could unfold, with dramatically different implications for society and energy. 

New Lenses on Future Cities

We analysed six city archetypes to better understand the changing world and created scenarios for how individual cities might evolve and become more efficient.

Meet the Shell Scenarios team

The Shell Scenarios team brings together experts from an array of disciplines to understand versions of the future.

Earlier scenarios

Shell Scenarios since the 1970s have helped us understand how the world and its energy system could evolve in decades to come.

Shell Scenarios energy models

Two of the key long-term models of the world’s energy system developed by the Shell Scenarios Team.

Could planting trees help limit global warming?

Could planting trees help limit global warming?

Large scale reforestation could be a key lever for society to attain the stretched goal of the Paris Agreement. This, as well as other critical questions about a technically possible pathway to get to net-zero emissions are explored in the Sky scenario.

Watch this video to learn more
Energy resources are spread across the planet

Energy resources are spread across the planet

The Global Energy Resource database is our tool for exploring the world’s fossil and renewable energy resources. Do you know how energy resources are distributed around the world?

Take this short quiz to find out
Peaceful streets or buzzing blocks?

Peaceful streets or buzzing blocks?

House or High-rise? Take the Future Cities quiz and match yourself to a global city!

Take the Future Cities quiz

Featured Content

World Energy Model

Find out how the World Energy Model can explore different plausible future energy scenarios all the way to the year 2100.

Global Supply Model

Find out how the Scenarios team explores future oil and gas production potential to 2100.

Global Energy Resources database

Our tool for exploring how the world’s fossil and renewable energy resources are distributed – now and in future.

Shell Scenarios in film

A selection of short films introduce and explain the Shell Scenarios over the years, and the work of our Scenarios team.