Recovery, resilience and transformation

The COVID-19 pandemic has generated significant turning points, with shifts across almost all societies and economies. It has exposed tensions and weaknesses in the global systems – but also shifted policy and behaviour in ways that open new possibilities for the future.

There will be different recovery objectives at the front of people’s minds – the recovery of economic strength, the recovery of a sense of security and the recovery of a sense of well-being. These different objectives form the driving forces behind our new scenarios. People will be seeking all of these to some extent – wealth, security and health. But what they choose to prioritise may differ.

Over time, attention will turn from short-term recovery to long-term resilience, the capacity to survive, adapt and grow in the face of change and uncertainty. The current crisis may provide a window of opportunity for the deep changes distinct to transformative resilience – the ability to transition deeply to thrive in new circumstances.

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The full report

Three new scenarios extend across the century and consider the pace of energy transitions and the impact on the climate.

Summary report

Download a summary of our new long-horizon scenarios.

The videos

Watch more about our new energy transformation scenarios.

The underlying data

Explore the data behind the energy landscapes in our new scenarios.

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