We believe there will be three dramatic tensions at play in the 2020s – between wealth, security and health. People will seek all of these to some extent, but what societies choose to prioritise may differ. These priorities, along with different societal capabilities, such as public health, could shape the decade.

Scenarios describe possible future worlds to help stretch how we all think about and plan for the future – so we can make better decisions today. These are not predictions, Shell strategy or business plans.

More in Shell Scenarios

What are Shell Scenarios?

Shell has been a pioneer in developing scenarios to explore the future and deepen its strategic thinking for almost 50 years. 

Scenario Sketches

The Scenarios team provides ‘big picture’ insights about how the world is changing – politically, economically, technologically and socially - into sketches to help think about the future.

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The Sky scenario illustrates a technically possible, but challenging pathway for society to achieve the goals of the Paris Agreement.

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Global Energy Resources database

Our tool for exploring how the world’s fossil and renewable energy resources are distributed – now and in future.