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1st Quarter 2007 Results

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1st Quarter 2007 results

  • Royal Dutch Shell’s first quarter 2007 CCS earnings were $6.9 billion compared to $6.1 billion a year ago. CCS earnings per share increased by 17% versus the same quarter a year ago.
  • From 2007 onwards the Group is declaring its dividends in US dollars rather than in euros. A first quarter 2007 dividend has been announced of $0.36 per share, an increase of 14% over the US dollar dividend for the same period in 2006.
  • $0.5 billion or 0.2% of Royal Dutch Shell shares were bought back for cancellation during the quarter.

Royal Dutch Shell Chief Executive Jeroen van der Veer commented: “These are again competitive results, driven by operating performance.” He continued: “We have progressed two large and complex transactions, Sakhalin II and Shell Canada, which consolidate our position in two major resources areas. Our strategy is on track. We continue to refocus our portfolio, through disciplined capital choices.”



Summary unaudited results

$ million

QUARTERS

 

Q1

Q4

Q1

 

 

2007

2006

2006

%1

Income attributable to shareholders

7,281

5,283

6,893

+6

Estimated current cost of supplies (CCS) adjustment for Oil Products and Chemicals (see note 2)

(349)

732

(805)

 

CCS earnings

6,932

6,015

6,088

+14

Basic earnings per share ($)

1.16

0.84

1.06

 

Estimated CCS adjustment per share ($)

(0.06)

0.11

(0.12)

 

Basic CCS earnings per share ($)

1.10

0.95

0.94

+17

Dividend per ordinary share ($)2 

0.36

0.325

0.315

+14

1 Q1 on Q1 change

 

 

 

 

2 First quarter 2007 dividends are declared in US dollars. Comparable periods were declared in euros and translated, for comparison purposes, to US dollars (based on the US dollar dividend of American Depositary Receipts in the applicable period converted to ordinary shares).



Key features of the first quarter 2007

  • First quarter 2007 CCS earnings were $6,932 million or 14 % higher than the same quarter a year ago.
  • First quarter 2007 reported income was $7,281 million or 6% higher than the same quarter a year ago.
  • Exploration & Production segment earnings were $3,508 million compared with $3,743 million in the first quarter 2006. Earnings, when compared to the first quarter 2006, were mainly impacted by lower oil and gas price realisations, lower volumes and higher costs, reflecting current industry conditions.
  • Gas & Power segment earnings were $803 million compared to $760 million a year ago. Earnings, when compared to the same quarter in 2006, reflected increased LNG sales volumes and LNG equity dividends, which were offset by lower marketing and trading results.
  • Oil Products CCS earnings were $1,488 million compared to $1,333 million in 2006. Earnings reflected higher refinery and marketing margins partly offset by lower refinery utilisation and higher operational costs when compared to the first quarter 2006. Also in Downstream, Chemicals CCS earnings were $480 million compared to $139 million in 2006. Chemicals earnings reflected higher unit margins and full operations in the quarter at the Nanhai petrochemicals complex in China when compared to the same quarter in 2006.
  • Cash flow from operating activities was $11.2 billion compared to $7.8 billion in the first quarter 2006. Excluding working capital movements and taxation effects, cash flow from operating activities was $9.7 billion compared to $9.2 billion a year ago (see note 7).
  • Total cash returned to shareholders in the first quarter 2007 was $2.6 billion in the form of dividends and share repurchases.
  • Capital investment for the first quarter 2007 was $5.6 billion, excluding the minority share of Sakhalin of $0.4 billion. Approximately $0.4 billion of proceeds were realised from divestments, and some $7.1 billion was used for acquisitions, mainly related to Shell Canada.
  • Return on average capital employed (ROACE), on a reported income basis (see note 3), was 23.2%.
  • Gearing (see note 5) was 14.6% at the end of the first quarter 2007 versus 12.0 % at the end of the first quarter 2006.
  • As at March 31, 2007 Shell Investments Ltd (SIL), a wholly owned subsidiary of Royal Dutch Shell plc, had taken up and accepted for payment approximately 94.5% of the outstanding common shares of Shell Canada not already owned by SIL. SIL has since exercised its right to acquire the remaining shares not already owned by SIL or its affiliates at the same price of C$45 per common share. The cash purchase price for the shares amounts to some $7.1 billion (See note 6).
  • On April 11, 2007, Royal Dutch Petroleum Company (now merged into Shell Petroleum N.V.) and The Shell Transport and Trading Company, Ltd., (formerly: The “Shell” Transport and Trading Company, p.l.c.) without admitting any wrongdoing, reached a settlement of asserted and unasserted claims arising out of the recategorisation of its proved reserves with representatives of shareholders who both resided and purchased Shell shares outside of the United States during the period of April 8, 1999 through March 18, 2004, inclusive. The agreement depends on the Amsterdam Court of Appeals declaring the settlement binding for all of the shareholders that it covers and is further subject to agreed opt-out and termination provisions.
  • On April 18, 2007, Royal Dutch Shell completed the farm-out to OAO Gazprom of a 50% stake (plus 1 share) in the Sakhalin project in Russia. Royal Dutch Shell diluted its stake in the project from 55% to 27.5% for a total sale price of $4.1 billion. This transaction will be accounted for in the second quarter 2007. In addition, the Ministry of Natural Resources of the Russian Federation has announced its approval of the revised Environmental Action Plan, and the Supervisory Board of Sakhalin Energy has approved the Amended Development Budget. Additional agreements were also signed with the Russian Government, addressing the economic balance of the project.



Basic earnings per share (see notes 1, 2 and 8)

 

QUARTERS

 

Q1

Q4

Q1

 

2007

2006

2006

Earnings per share ($)

1.16

0.84

1.06

CCS earnings per share ($)

1.10

0.95

0.94



Diluted earnings per share (see notes 1, 2 and 8)

 

QUARTERS

 

Q1

Q4

Q1

 

2007

2006

2006

Earnings per share ($)

1.15

0.83

  1.05

CCS earnings per share ($)

1.10

0.95

0.93

    



Summary segment earnings

$ million

QUARTERS

 

Q1

Q4

Q1

 

 

2007

2006

2006

%1

Segment earnings

 

 

 

 

Exploration & Production

3,508

3,710

3,743

 

Gas & Power2 

803

579

760

 

Oil Products (CCS basis)

1,488

1,469

1,333

 

Chemicals (CCS basis)

480

273

139

 

Corporate2

801

249

227

 

Minority interests

(148)

(265)

(114)

 

 

______

______

______

 

CCS earnings

6,932

6,015

6,088

+14

 

______

______

______

 

1 Q1 on Q1 change

 

 

 

 

2 As from the first quarter 2007, the segment Other Industry and Corporate has been renamed as Corporate. Its earnings no longer include the results generated by the Wind and Solar businesses, which were previously reported as part of Other Industry Segments, but continue to include some non-material businesses. The Wind and Solar businesses earnings are, as from the first quarter 2007, reported under the Gas & Power segment. For comparison purposes, the first and fourth quarters 2006 results were reclassified and are impacted by $(5) million and $(3) million in the Gas & Power segment and by $5 million and $3 million in the Corporate segment, respectively.



Summary segment earnings - continued

Earnings in the first quarter 2007 reflected the following items, which in aggregate were a net gain of $371 million (compared to a net gain of $113 million in the first quarter 2006) as summarised in the table below:

  • Exploration & Production earnings included a net income of $104 million, reflecting both a gain from divestments of $126 million and a charge of $22 million related to the mark-to-market valuation of certain UK gas contracts. Exploration & Production first quarter 2006 earnings included net gains of $113 million (mainly related to the resolution of contractual issues, partly offset by a $34 million charge related to the mark-to-market valuation of certain UK gas contracts).
  • Gas & Power earnings included a net income of $39 million, reflecting gains of $110 million related to divestments and a charge of $71 million related to gas contract mark-to-market valuation.
  • Oil Products earnings included a charge of $176 million related to impairment of certain assets.
  • Corporate included a gain of $404 million related to the realisation of gains on the sale of the equity portfolio held by Group insurance companies.

The reduced effective tax rate for the quarter has been caused by a change in the mix of the Group's profits, partly as a result of specific items and partly as a result of production locations. The effective tax rate in future quarters is uncertain, and is impacted by changes in the mix of the Group's profits.

Summary table:

$ million

QUARTERS

 

Q1

Q4

Q1

 

2007

2006

2006

Segment earnings impact of identified items:

 

 

 

  Exploration & Production

104

387

113

  Gas & Power

39

-

-

  Oil Products (CCS basis)

(176)

103

-

  Chemicals (CCS basis)

-

(83)

-

  Corporate

404

108

-

  Minority interests

-

-

-

 

______

______

______

  CCS earnings impact

371

515

113

 

==========

==========

==========

These items generally relate to events with an impact of greater than $50 million on earnings and are shown to provide additional insight in the segment earnings, CCS earnings and income attributable to shareholders. Further additional comments are provided in the section ‘Earnings per industry segment’ on page 5 and onwards.

    



Earnings per industry segment


Upstream

 

QUARTERS

 

Q1

Q4

Q1

 

2007

2006

2006

Realised Oil Prices (period average)

$/bbl

WOUSA

54.88

54.93

57.67

USA

51.91

52.94

55.16

Global

54.45

54.65

57.39

Realised Gas Prices (period average)

$/thousand scf

Europe

7.84

7.63

7.08

WOUSA (including Europe)

4.71

4.59

4.76

USA

7.20

6.87

9.56

Global

5.21

5.06

5.64

Oil and gas marker industry prices (period average)

 

 

 

Brent ($/bbl)

57.76

59.59

61.80

WTI ($/bbl)

58.05

59.90

63.30

Henry Hub ($/MMBtu)

7.15

6.68

7.75

UK National Balancing Point (pence/therm)

22.31

29.93

69.42

    



Exploration & Production

$ million

QUARTERS

 

Q1

Q4

Q1

 

 

2007

2006

2006

%1

Segment earnings 

3,508

3,710

3,743

-6

Crude oil production (thousand b/d)

1,961

2,201

1,966

0

Natural gas production available for sale (million scf/d)

8,981

8,377

10,324

-13

Barrels of oil equivalent (thousand boe/d)

3,509

3,645

3,746

-6

1 Q1 on Q1 change

 

 

 

 

First quarter Exploration & Production segment earnings were $3,508 million compared to $3,743 million a year ago.

First quarter 2007 earnings included a net income of $104 million, reflecting both a gain from divestments of $126 million and a charge of $22 million related to the mark-to-market valuation of certain UK gas contracts. Exploration & Production first quarter 2006 earnings included net gains of $113 million (mainly related to the resolution of contractual issues, partly offset by a $34 million charge related to the mark-to-market valuation of certain UK gas contracts). Excluding these effects earnings were 6 % lower than a year ago.

Earnings reflected lower production volumes and oil and gas prices, higher costs, reflecting current industry conditions and increased pre-development activity levels, compared to the first quarter 2006.

Liquids realisations were 5% lower than a year ago, approximately in line with the marker crudes Brent (-7%) and WTI (-8%). Outside the USA gas realisations decreased by 1% whereas in the USA gas realisations decreased by 25%.

First quarter 2007 production was 3,509 thousand boe per day compared to 3,746 thousand boe per day a year ago. Year-on-year, oil production was broadly unchanged. Unusually low seasonal gas demand related to warm weather in North West Europe continued to impact gas sales.

Production compared to the first quarter 2006 included volumes from new fields including Erha (Shell share 44%) in Nigeria, E8 and B12 (Shell share 50%) in Malaysia, BlackRock (Shell share 100%) in Canada, Pohokura (Shell share 48%) in New Zealand, Enfield in Australia (Shell share 34%), Changbei (Shell share 50%) in China and Champion West Phase III (Shell share 50%) in Brunei.

Production from Shell Petroleum Development Company’s Nigerian operations was 78 thousand boe per day (Shell share) lower than a year ago due to deferred production mainly in the Western Delta resulting from security concerns. At the end of the quarter 188 thousand boe per day (Shell share) remained shut-in. Efforts continue towards restoring safe operational conditions in the Niger Delta and, following an improvement in the security situation, preparations for a restart are underway. No firm date can be given for a return to full production, nor the rate of ramp-up to full production. Restricted access to the area continues to impact the future drilling programme and the progress of new projects.

First quarter portfolio developments:

In China, Shell and PetroChina started commercial production and gas delivery from the Changbei gas field.

In New Zealand, Shell delivered first offshore gas from the Pohokura field. This follows the delivery of onshore gas achieved in September 2006.

Shell sold 45% of the newly created Shell Technology Ventures Fund 1 BV (STV), an energy technology fund, to Coller Capital. Shell will remain the majority shareholder in the fund, which will focus on investing in non-exclusive Shell and third party exploration and production technologies.



Gas & Power

$ million

QUARTERS

 

Q1

Q4

Q1

 

 

2007

2006

2006

%1

Segment earnings 2

803

579

760

+6

Equity LNG sales volume (million tonnes)

3.30

3.34

3.00

+10

1 Q1 on Q1 change

 

 

 

 

2As from the first quarter 2007, the Gas & Power earnings include earnings generated by the Wind and Solar businesses, which were previously reported as part of Other Industry Segments. For comparison purposes, the first and fourth quarters 2006 results were reclassified and were impacted by $(5) million and $(3) million respectively.

First quarter Gas & Power segment earnings were $803 million compared to $760 million a year ago. First quarter 2007 earnings included a net income of $39 million, reflecting gains of $110 million related to divestments and a charge of $71 million related to gas contract mark-to-market valuation. Excluding these items, earnings reflected strong equity LNG sales volumes and higher LNG equity dividends, which were offset by lower marketing and trading results compared to the same quarter in 2006.

LNG equity sales volumes of 3.30 million tonnes were 10% higher than in the same quarter a year ago, driven by additional sales at Nigeria LNG (Shell interest 26%) due to increased feedgas supply. This was complemented by high plant reliability across all of our LNG joint venture liquefaction plants.

Marketing and trading earnings benefited from storage optimisation in the first quarter 2007, but were lower than in the same period last year mainly due to milder weather in the first quarter 2007.

First quarter portfolio developments:

In Australia, the North West Shelf venture (Shell direct and indirect interests 22%) completed the renewal of long-term LNG purchase commitments with eight Japanese customers, totaling 4.3 million tonnes per annum over 6 to 8 years as from 2009.



Downstream

 

QUARTERS

 

Q1

Q4

Q1

 

 

2007

2006

2006

 

Refining marker industry gross margins (period average)

$/bbl

ANS US West Coast coking margin

22.16

15.69

13.01

 

WTS US Gulf Coast coking margin

12.87

10.05

12.49

 

Rotterdam Brent complex

3.70

2.06

2.34

 

Singapore 80/20 Arab light/Tapis complex

3.06

1.10

1.18

 

    



Oil Products

$ million

QUARTERS

 

Q1

Q4

Q1

 

 

2007

2006

2006

%1

Segment earnings

1,802

791

2,103

 

CCS adjustment – see note 2

(314)

678

  (770)

 

 

______

______

______

 

Segment CCS earnings

1,488

1,469

1,333

+12

Refinery intake (thousand b/d)

3,608

3,890

3,862

-7

Total Oil products sales (thousand b/d)

6,406

6,467

6,525

-2

1 Q1 on Q1 change

 

 

 

 

    

First quarter segment earnings were $1,802 million compared to $2,103 million for the same period last year.

First quarter CCS earnings were $1,488 million compared to $1,333 million in the first quarter of 2006. Earnings for the first quarter 2007 included a net charge of $176 million related to impairment of certain assets.

CCS earnings increased as a result of higher refining margins, increased retail marketing margins and stronger margins in Lubricants. Earnings were partly offset by reduced refinery utilisation, higher operating costs, reduced trading profits, impairment charges and tax charges compared to first quarter 2006.

In Manufacturing, Supply and Distribution, industry refining margins were up significantly on the US West Coast, Europe and the East. Strong US Gulf Coast margins continued at similar levels to the first quarter of 2006. Refinery availability declined to 85.3% from 89.9% in the first quarter of 2006 mainly due to high levels of planned maintenance.

In Marketing, earnings increased compared to the same period a year ago mainly due to higher retail marketing margins, improved finished lubricants margins and continued strong base oil margins.

Marketing sales volumes declined 4.6% compared to volumes in the first quarter of 2006, including the impact of divested volumes (2.1%) and rationalised B2B and Retail volumes (0.7%).

First quarter portfolio developments:

In the first quarter, Shell announced the sale of the Los Angeles Refinery, Wilmington Products Terminal and approximately 250 retail sites to Tesoro Corporation. The sale of the refinery, terminal and retail sites is expected to close in mid 2007 after all regulatory approvals are obtained.

Shell announced a strategic review of the Petit-Couronne and Reichstett-Vendenheim refineries and the Berre-l’Etang refinery site complex in France, with a combined capacity of around 300 thousand barrels per day (Shell share 100%), and the Yabucoa petrochemical feedstock refinery in Puerto Rico, which has a capacity of 79 thousand barrels per day (Shell share 100%).

In Ukraine, Shell and OJSC Alliance Group announced a commitment to establish a joint venture to operate 150 Shell branded retail sites. Shell will have a 51% share of the joint venture. Start-up of operations is subject to fulfilment of certain conditions and regulatory approval.

In Europe, Shell signed agreements for the sale of its LPG businesses in Bulgaria, the Czech Republic, Germany, Romania, Spain and Switzerland. The sale is subject to regulatory approval and is expected to close later this year.



Chemicals

$ million

QUARTERS

 

Q1

Q4

Q1

 

 

2007

2006

2006

%1

Segment earnings

527

184

183

 

CCS adjustment – see note 2

(47)

89

(44)

 

 

______

______

______

 

Segment CCS earnings

480

273

139

+245

Sales volumes (thousand tonnes)

5,567

5,690

5,941

-6

1 Q1 on Q1 change

 

 

 

 

    

First quarter segment earnings were $527 million compared to $183 million for the same period last year.

First quarter CCS segment earnings were $480 million compared to $139 million in the same quarter last year.

Earnings reflected improved margins and higher profits from equity-accounted investments, partly offset by lower trading earnings when compared to the same quarter in 2006. Higher earnings from equity-accounted investments included a full quarter of the Nanhai petrochemicals complex in China (Shell share 50%), which started up during the first quarter 2006. The decline in sales volumes mainly reflected a reduction in sales of lower margin products, including aromatics trading, as well as the marketing impact of planned turnaround activities in the Middle East. Chemicals manufacturing plant availability was 91%, approximately in line with availability rates in the first quarter 2006.



Corporate segment

$ million

QUARTERS

 

Q1

Q4

Q1

 

 

2007

2006

2006

%1

Segment earnings2

801

249

227

+253

1 Q1 on Q1 change

 

 

 

 

2 As from the first quarter 2007, the segment Other Industry and Corporate has been renamed as Corporate. Its earnings no longer include the results generated by the Wind and Solar businesses, which were previously reported as part of Other Industry Segments, but continue to include some non-material businesses. For comparison purposes, the first and fourth quarters 2006 results were reclassified and are impacted by $5 million and $3 million respectively.

First quarter Corporate segment results were $801 million, including realisation of gains on the sale of the equity portfolio held by the Group insurance companies of some $404 million, compared to $227 million for the same period last year.

Earnings reflected higher capitalised interest, higher insurance underwriting income and lower currency exchange rate results when compared to the first quarter 2006.

    



Note

All amounts shown throughout this report are unaudited.

Second quarter results for 2007 are expected to be announced on July 26, 2007 and third quarter results are expected to be announced on October 25, 2007.

In this Report “Group” is defined as Royal Dutch Shell together with all of its consolidated subsidiaries. The expressions “Shell”, “Group”, “Shell Group” and “Royal Dutch Shell” are sometimes used for convenience where references are made to the Group or Group companies in general. Likewise, the words “we”, “us” and “our” are also used to refer to Group companies in general or to those who work for them. These expressions are also used where no useful purpose is served by identifying the particular company or companies. The expression “Group companies” as used in this Report refers to companies in which Royal Dutch Shell either directly or indirectly has control, by having either a majority of the voting rights or the right to exercise a controlling influence. The companies in which the Group has significant influence but not control are referred to as “associated companies” or “associates” and companies in which the Group has joint control are referred to as “jointly controlled entities”. In this Report, associates and jointly controlled entities are also referred to as “equity accounted investments”.

This document contains forward-looking statements concerning the financial condition, results of operations and businesses of Royal Dutch Shell. All statements other than statements of historical fact are, or may be deemed to be, forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are statements of future expectations that are based on management’s current expectations and assumptions and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied in these statements. Forward-looking statements include, among other things, statements concerning the potential exposure of Royal Dutch Shell to market risks and statements expressing management’s expectations, beliefs, estimates, forecasts, projections and assumptions. These forward-looking statements are identified by their use of terms and phrases such as ‘‘anticipate’’, ‘‘believe’’, ‘‘could’’, ‘‘estimate’’, ‘‘expect’’, ‘‘intend’’, ‘‘may’’, ‘‘plan’’, ‘‘objectives’’, ‘‘outlook’’, ‘‘probably’’, ‘‘project’’, ‘‘will’’, ‘‘seek’’, ‘‘target’’, ‘‘risks’’, ‘‘goals’’, ‘‘should’’ and similar terms and phrases. There are a number of factors that could affect the future operations of Royal Dutch Shell and could cause those results to differ materially from those expressed in the forward-looking statements included in this Report, including (without limitation): (a) price fluctuations in crude oil and natural gas; (b) changes in demand for the Group’s products; (c) currency fluctuations; (d) drilling and production results; (e) reserve estimates; (f) loss of market and industry competition; (g) environmental and physical risks; (h) risks associated with the identification of suitable potential acquisition properties and targets, and successful negotiation and completion of such transactions; (i) the risk of doing business in developing countries and countries subject to international sanctions; (j) legislative, fiscal and regulatory developments including potential litigation and regulatory effects arising from recategorisation of reserves; (k) economic and financial market conditions in various countries and regions; (l) political risks, project delay or advancement, approvals and cost estimates; and (m) changes in trading conditions. All forward-looking statements contained in this Report are expressly qualified in their entirety by the cautionary statements contained or referred to in this section. Readers should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements. Each forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date of this Report. Neither Royal Dutch Shell nor any of its subsidiaries undertake any obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statement as a result of new information, future events or other information. In light of these risks, results could differ materially from those stated, implied or inferred from the forward-looking statements contained in this Report.

Please refer to the Annual Report and Form 20-F for the year ended December 31, 2006 for a description of certain important factors, risks and uncertainties that may affect Shell's businesses.

Cautionary Note to US Investors:

The United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) permits oil and gas companies, in their filings with the SEC, to disclose only proved reserves that a company has demonstrated by actual production or conclusive formation tests to be economically and legally producible under existing economic and operating conditions. We may use certain terms in this announcement that the SEC's guidelines strictly prohibit us from including in filings with the SEC. US Investors are urged to consider closely the disclosure in our Form 20-F, File No 1-32575 and disclosure in our Forms 6-K, File No 1-32575, available on the SEC’s website www.sec.gov . You can also obtain these forms from the SEC by calling 1-800-SEC-0330.

     May 3, 2007



Appendix 1: Royal Dutch Shell financial report and tables


Statement of income
(see note 1)

 

$ million

 

 

Q1

Q4

Q1

 

 

2007

2006

2006

%2

Revenue1

73,480

75,500

75,964

 

Cost of sales

60,666

62,846

61,922

 

 

______

______

______

 

Gross profit

12,814

12,654

14,042

-9

Selling, distribution and administrative expenses

3,778

4,648

3,413

 

Exploration expenses

272

630

281