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Up to 2050
Accessible version
Scramble:
Climate adaption measures begin
Eventually people demand energy efficiency measures, and governments finally take steps.
Energy related CO2 emissions decline, but atmospheric concentrations continue to rise
Knee jerk legislation is rarely thought out and creates further problems. Eg: a shortage of new housing because construction companies can’t adapt quickly enough to new energy efficient building regulations.
The world needs around 15% less energy than if it had not acted.
Having avoided making hard decisions earlier, the world now faces expensive consequences in 2050 and beyond. This is the legacy of a reactive, Scramble approach.
Blueprints:
Continued growth in unconventional fuels
By 2050, over 60% of electricity comes from renewable resources. Carbon capture/ storage means fossil fuels are used in more environmentally friendly ways.
The world needs around 26% less energy than if it had not acted.
Though energy use will be much higher than it is now, it is far lower than it could have been and the path is much more sustainable. There will be three billion more of us, but CO2 emissions will be lower per capita, a major benefit of pursuing Blueprints'
The timeline demonstrates why we, at Shell, prefer the Blueprints way ahead and are working to make it happen. You will find more information about Shell Energy Scenarios and the possible paths we could take in the Scenarios booklet.
